Dubai Real Estate Market Set to Hit $40 Billion in Summer 2025, Reports Show

Monday, 30 June 2025

Dubai is gearing up for a record-breaking summer in real estate, with total transactions forecasted to surpass $40 billion between June and August 2025. A surge in off-plan activity, upcoming project handovers, and seasonal incentives create a rare buying opportunity.

Key Highlights:

  • Transaction Forecast:
    • Summer 2025 expected to exceed $40 billion (AED150–160B) in real estate transactions
    • Q1 2025 recorded AED142.7 billion ($38.9 billion) — a 22% YoY increase
    • Represents 25–30% growth from Summer 2024’s $33 billion total
  • Off-Plan Dominance:
    • 63% of all transactions are now off-plan (up from 54% in 2024)
    • Investors looking to secure units before completion-linked price increases
  • Capital Appreciation Forecast:
    • Apartments: 6–9% annual growth
    • Villas: 7–10% annual growth
    • Arjan & JVC off-plan units projected to yield 15–25% capital gains by handover
  • Buyer-Friendly Summer Window:
    • Traditionally quiet Q3 now gives buyers negotiating power
    • Developers offering summer incentives and post-handover payment plans
    • Mid-luxury market especially competitive with limited-time deals
  • Expert Insight:
    • “Summer 2025 offers a compelling value window that we expect will close quickly by Q4.” — Elkhan Salikhov, CEO of Elite Merit Real Estate