Investor takeaway
Do not judge off-plan from one headline
Compare the project, payment plan, handover timing, developer context and the surrounding community evidence before requesting availability.
Published by PropertyStellar Editorial Team. Read our editorial policy and research methodology.
Dubai’s real estate market is set to witness a significant slowdown in new residential handovers in 2025 and 2026, with just over half of the projected units expected to be completed. However, a sharp increase in supply is projected for 2027, which may shift the market dynamics considerably, according to Morgan’s International Realty.
Key Highlights:
- 2025 Completion Rate: Only 22,896 units (62%) expected out of 37,171 forecasted
- 2026 Completion Rate: Just 48% expected (34,740 of 71,613 units)
- Combined 2025–26: Only 57,636 units likely to be delivered out of 108,784 forecasted (approx. 53%)
- Fitch Data (2022–2024): Only 97,000 out of 174,000 units delivered (56% completion rate)
- Delays Attributed To: Contractor shortages, funding delays, buyer payments, and sales timelines
- Key Delivery Areas for 2025: Studio City, Sobha Hartland, JVC, JLT, and Al Furjan
- Key Delivery Areas for 2026: JVC, Azizi Venice, DAMAC Lagoons, Business Bay, and Arjan
- 2027 Outlook: A projected 70,537 units to be handed over — double Dubai’s five-year average
- Top Areas in 2027: JVC, Business Bay, Azizi Venice, Dubai Hills Estate, and Creek Harbour
- JVC to Lead Supply: 16,852 units expected between 2025 and 2027
- Market Impact: Potential price pressure in high-supply zones like JVC and Business Bay due to oversupply
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